Job growth was stronger than expected in June and the payroll gains for the prior two months were revised higher,cementing expectations for the Federal Reserve to start winding down its massive stimulus program as early as September.
6月份就業(yè)增長(cháng)好于預期,此前兩個(gè)月的數據也大幅向上修正,增強了美聯(lián)儲最早將于9月著(zhù)手退出大規模刺激方案的預期。(路透)
美國勞工部5日公布最新統計數據顯示,美國6月份非農就業(yè)人數增加195000人,4月份和5月份的非農就業(yè)人數被修正后,均比之前公布的數據增加了70000人。
The jobless rate remained steady at 7.6% of the workforce,according to the data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
根據勞工部統計局的數字,美國失業(yè)率仍維持在7.6%。(BBC)
失業(yè)率未能下降的主要原因是,更多年輕人重新加入到求職的隊伍中來(lái),原本依靠低保生活的失業(yè)者重新確立就業(yè)意愿,對美國經(jīng)濟來(lái)說(shuō)應該算是一件好事。
Two weeks ago,Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said the U.S. central bank expected to start cutting back later this year on the $85 billion in bonds it is purchasing each month and would likely bring the program to a complete close by the mid-2014 if the economy progressed as it expected. The jobs report,together with other relatively upbeat data on housing,auto sales and manufacturing,made that plan more likely.
兩周前,美聯(lián)儲主席本·伯南克說(shuō),美聯(lián)儲預計將在今年晚些時(shí)候開(kāi)始削減每月850億美元規模的購債方案,如果經(jīng)濟增長(cháng)符合其預期,美聯(lián)儲可能將在2014年中期徹底退出量化寬松。本次公布的就業(yè)報告,與相對強勁的住房市場(chǎng)數據、汽車(chē)銷(xiāo)售數據和制造業(yè)數據,共同增加了執行此退出計劃的可能性。(路透)
高盛表示,基于過(guò)去幾個(gè)月好于預期的就業(yè)市場(chǎng)數據,預計美聯(lián)儲開(kāi)始縮減量寬規模將從9月份的貨幣政策會(huì )議開(kāi)始,比之前預計的12月會(huì )有所提前,預計美聯(lián)儲的購債速度將從現在每個(gè)月的850億美元縮減到650億美元。
If the US economy continues to add jobs at this pace,the unemployment rate should fall from its current 7.6% to 6.5% by the end of 2014. This is the number the Fed has said the US jobs market must reach before it will end its program of suppressing rates.
如果美國經(jīng)濟按此速度繼續增加就業(yè)崗位,失業(yè)率將在2014年年底由當前的7.6%降至6.5%。后者是美聯(lián)儲此前確認的一個(gè)重要“標桿”,在美聯(lián)儲終止超低利率之前,失業(yè)率應降到該水平之下。(BBC)
華爾街分析師普遍預測,美聯(lián)儲加息時(shí)點(diǎn)不會(huì )提前,在結束量化寬松政策后,美聯(lián)儲將進(jìn)入政策觀(guān)察期,這需要相當長(cháng)的一段時(shí)間,而且結束低利率環(huán)境也不可能一蹴而就,或許會(huì )從提高存款準備金率入手,以試探市場(chǎng)反應。