澳大利亞央行8月6日宣布降息25個(gè)基點(diǎn)至2.5%，自2013年8月7日起生效，該結果符合市場(chǎng)普遍預期。澳大利亞央行本輪降息周期在21個(gè)月間累計降息幅度達225個(gè)基點(diǎn)。

    澳大利亞央行資料圖

    澳大利亞央行聲明稱(chēng)，降息的決定是適宜的，過(guò)去18個(gè)月內的寬松政策支撐了對利率敏感的支出水平和資產(chǎn)價(jià)格，失業(yè)率已經(jīng)走高。預計近期經(jīng)濟增長(cháng)低于趨勢水平，必要時(shí)將會(huì )調整政策刺激增長(cháng)。這暗示未來(lái)寬松之門(mén)依然敞開(kāi)。
    澳大利亞央行稱(chēng)，澳元可能進(jìn)一步走軟，澳元匯率走低將有助于經(jīng)濟增長(cháng)再平衡。同時(shí)強調，勞動(dòng)成本增速溫和，即使澳元進(jìn)一步疲軟，仍預計未來(lái)兩年內通脹率將維持在目標范圍之內。
    內需不振、失業(yè)率緩慢上升、通脹溫和，這些因素都支持了澳大利亞進(jìn)一步推出刺激計劃。
    在決議聲明公布后，澳元兌美元受“賣(mài)預期，買(mǎi)事實(shí)”情緒快速走高，此前部分空頭選擇獲利了結，推動(dòng)澳元兌美元刷新日內高點(diǎn)0.8969。
    從4月11日起，澳元兌美元從當時(shí)取得的五周高點(diǎn)1.0582起，一路走出一波單邊下跌行情，截止本周一度創(chuàng )下三年低點(diǎn)0.8845，澳元在短短3個(gè)多月的時(shí)間里累積下跌了1737點(diǎn)，成為了年內足以與日元相媲美的最弱G10貨幣之一。

    附：澳大利亞央行會(huì )后聲明（英文版）
    Statement by Glenn Stevens, Governor: Monetary Policy Decision

    At its meeting today, the Board decided to lower the cash rate by 25 basis points to 2.5 per cent, effective 7 August 2013.
    Recent information is consistent with global growth running a bit below average this year, with reasonable prospects of a pick-up next year. Commodity prices have declined but, overall, remain at high levels by historical standards. Inflation has moderated over recent months in a number of countries.
    Globally, financial conditions remain very accommodative, though the recent reassessment by markets of the outlook for US monetary policy has seen a noticeable rise in sovereign bond yields, from exceptionally low levels. Volatility in financial markets has increased and has affected a number of emerging market economies in particular.
    In Australia, the economy has been growing a bit below trend over the past year. This is expected to continue in the near term as the economy adjusts to lower levels of mining investment. The unemployment rate has edged higher. Recent data confirm that inflation has been consistent with the medium-term target. With growth in labour costs moderating, this is expected to remain the case over the next one to two years, even with the effects of the recent depreciation of the exchange rate.
    The easing in monetary policy over the past 18 months has supported interest-sensitive spending and asset values, and further effects can be expected over time. The pace of borrowing has remained relatively subdued, though recently there are signs of increased demand for finance by households.
    The Australian dollar has depreciated by around 15 per cent since early April, although it remains at a high level. It is possible that the exchange rate will depreciate further over time, which would help to foster a rebalancing of growth in the economy.
    The Board has previously noted that the inflation outlook could provide some scope to ease policy further, should that be required to support demand. At today's meeting, and taking account of recent information on prices and activity, the Board judged that a further decline in the cash rate was appropriate. The Board will continue to assess the outlook and adjust policy as needed to foster sustainable growth in demand and inflation outcomes consistent with the inflation target over time.（來(lái)源：澳大利亞央行網(wǎng)站）

    澳大利亞央行會(huì )后聲明（中文版）
    在今日的會(huì )議上，委員會(huì )決定降息25個(gè)基點(diǎn)，至2.5%，近期獲得的數據信息符合今年全球經(jīng)濟增長(cháng)略低于均值水平的態(tài)勢，預計明年有望實(shí)現提升。商品價(jià)格進(jìn)一步下跌，不過(guò)總體來(lái)看，價(jià)格仍處在歷史高位附近。
    多個(gè)國家的通脹數月來(lái)表現溫和，國際金融環(huán)境非常具備適應性。不過(guò)市場(chǎng)對于美國的貨幣政策的評估有所轉變，促使主權債收益率從異常低位反彈，金融市場(chǎng)的波動(dòng)性有所提升，尤其對一些新興市場(chǎng)構成影響。
    澳洲本地方面，過(guò)去1年來(lái)澳洲經(jīng)濟增速略低于趨勢水平，這一情況預計將在短期內持續，因礦業(yè)投資水平下降需要經(jīng)濟逐漸去適應。失業(yè)率略有上升，近期數據確認了通脹符合中期目標水平，就業(yè)成本升幅相對溫和。
    就業(yè)成本增速溫和的情況下，即便澳元匯率近期標志的情況下，預計這樣的情形預計將在未來(lái)1-2年內持續。
    貨幣政策過(guò)去18個(gè)月來(lái)持續放松，支持了利率敏感型行業(yè)的開(kāi)支，預計隨著(zhù)時(shí)間的流逝，后續效應還會(huì )逐步釋放。盡管借貸形勢相對溫和，不過(guò)近期有跡象顯示家庭部門(mén)融資需求有所上升。
    澳元匯率雖然仍處相對高位，但自4月早些時(shí)候以來(lái)已下跌近15%。預計本幣將隨著(zhù)時(shí)間的推移繼續下跌，這將有助經(jīng)濟增長(cháng)的再均衡過(guò)程。
    委員會(huì )先前表示，如果有必要繼續支持經(jīng)濟，通脹前景可能為進(jìn)一步降息營(yíng)造有利環(huán)境。在今日的會(huì )議上，考慮到近期價(jià)格和經(jīng)濟活動(dòng)性的表現，委員會(huì )判斷進(jìn)一步下調現金利率的做法是合適的，委員會(huì )將繼續評估經(jīng)濟前景并在必要時(shí)調整政策，從而培育持續的需求增長(cháng)，并維護通脹形勢符合目標。